Week:

2025 Season - Week 1 Grid

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EV ▼ W% P% Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Future Val
1.15 78.3% 15.3% PHI DAL
-8 		@KC
+1.5 		LAR
-4.5 		@TB
-2.5 		DEN
-4.5 		@NYG
-7 		@MIN
-3 		NYG
-10.5 		BYE @GB
-1.5 		DET
-3.5 		@DAL
-5.5 		CHI
-6.5 		@LAC
-2.5 		LV
-10.5 		@WSH
-1.5 		@BUF
+1.5 		WSH
-4.5
1.07 77.1% 24.9% DEN TEN
-8 		@IND
-3.5 		@LAC
+1 		CIN
-2.5 		@PHI
+4.5 		@NYJ
-6.5 		NYG
-7.5 		DAL
-4.5 		@HOU
-1.5 		LV
-6.5 		KC
+1.5 		BYE @WSH
+2.5 		@LV
-3.5 		GB
-1.5 		JAX
-6 		@KC
+4.5 		LAC
-2.5
1.04 71.1% 12.6% ARI @NO
-6.5 		CAR
-4.5 		@SF
+3.5 		SEA
-2.5 		TEN
-6 		@IND
-1 		GB
+1.5 		BYE @DAL
+1.5 		@SEA
+1.5 		SF
+1.5 		JAX
-3 		@TB
+3.5 		LAR
+1.5 		@HOU
+3 		ATL
-3.5 		@CIN
+3.5 		@LAR
+4
1.01 67.9% 8.6% CIN @CLE
-5.5 		JAX
-5.5 		@MIN
+1 		@DEN
+2.5 		DET
+1.5 		@GB
+3 		PIT
-4.5 		NYJ
-8 		CHI
-3.5 		BYE @PIT
-1.5 		NE
-4.5 		@BAL
+5.5 		@BUF
+5.5 		BAL
+2.5 		@MIA
-2 		ARI
-3.5 		CLE
-9
1.01 69.6% 13.4% WSH NYG
-6 		@GB
+3 		LV
-7.5 		@ATL
-3.5 		@LAC
+1 		CHI
-4.5 		@DAL
-3 		@KC
+3.5 		SEA
-5.5 		DET
-1.5 		@MIA
-4.5 		BYE DEN
-2.5 		@MIN
-1 		@NYG
-4.5 		PHI
+1.5 		DAL
-5 		@PHI
+4.5
0.96 62.1% 3.2% JAX CAR
-3.5 		@CIN
+5.5 		HOU
+1.5 		@SF
+6 		KC
+4.5 		SEA
-1 		LAR
+3.5 		BYE @LV
+1 		@HOU
+3.5 		LAC
+1.5 		@ARI
+3 		@TEN
-1 		IND
-3 		NYJ
-4.5 		@DEN
+6 		@IND
+1.5 		TEN
-4.5
0.94 60.5% 2.2% KC @LAC
-3 		PHI
-1.5 		@NYG
-6.5 		BAL
-1.5 		@JAX
-4.5 		DET
-3 		LV
-9.5 		WSH
-3.5 		@BUF
+2.5 		BYE @DEN
-1.5 		IND
-9.5 		@DAL
-5.5 		HOU
-6.5 		LAC
-4.5 		@TEN
-7 		DEN
-4.5 		@LV
-6
0.89 57.3% 0.9% LAR HOU
-3 		@TEN
-5.5 		@PHI
+4.5 		IND
-6.5 		SF
-1.5 		@BAL
+5.5 		@JAX
-3.5 		BYE NO
-9.5 		@SF
+1.5 		SEA
-4.5 		TB
-3 		@CAR
-3.5 		@ARI
-1.5 		DET
+1.5 		@SEA
-2 		@ATL
-3 		ARI
-4
0.88 57.5% 3.4% PIT @NYJ
-3 		SEA
-2.5 		@NE
+1 		MIN
+1.5 		BYE CLE
-6.5 		@CIN
+4.5 		GB
+1.5 		IND
-3.5 		@LAC
+4.5 		CIN
+1.5 		@CHI
+2.5 		BUF
+4.5 		@BAL
+8.5 		MIA
-3 		@DET
+6.5 		@CLE
-2.5 		BAL
+4.5
0.88 56.8% 1.9% NE LV
-2.5 		@MIA
+2.5 		PIT
-1 		CAR
-3.5 		@BUF
+8.5 		@NO
-3 		@TEN
-1.5 		CLE
-5.5 		ATL
-3 		@TB
+4.5 		NYJ
-5.5 		@CIN
+4.5 		NYG
-3 		BYE BUF
+4.5 		@BAL
+9 		@NYJ
-1.5 		MIA
-2.5
0.88 56.0% 0.3% GB DET
-2.5 		WSH
-3 		@CLE
-6 		@DAL
-2.5 		BYE CIN
-3 		@ARI
-1.5 		@PIT
-1.5 		CAR
-7.5 		PHI
+1.5 		@NYG
-4.5 		MIN
-3.5 		@DET
+2.5 		CHI
-3.5 		@DEN
+1.5 		@CHI
-1.5 		BAL
+1.5 		@MIN
-1.5
0.86 55.3% 1.0% SF @SEA
-2.5 		@NO
-7 		ARI
-3.5 		JAX
-6 		@LAR
+1.5 		@TB
+1 		ATL
-6.5 		@HOU
-1 		@NYG
-3.5 		LAR
-1.5 		@ARI
-1.5 		CAR
-7 		@CLE
-6 		BYE TEN
-7.5 		@IND
-3 		CHI
-3.5 		SEA
-4.5
0.86 55.4% 1.5% TB @ATL
-2.5 		@HOU
+2 		NYJ
-7.5 		PHI
+2.5 		@SEA
-1.5 		SF
-1 		@DET
+4 		@NO
-5.5 		BYE NE
-4.5 		@BUF
+6 		@LAR
+3 		ARI
-3.5 		NO
-9.5 		ATL
-5 		@CAR
-3.5 		@MIA
-1.5 		CAR
-7
0.83 53.2% 2.3% MIN @CHI
-1.5 		ATL
-4.5 		CIN
-1 		@PIT
-1.5 		@CLE
-7 		BYE PHI
+3 		@LAC
+3 		@DET
+4.5 		BAL
+3.5 		CHI
-3 		@GB
+3.5 		@SEA
+1 		WSH
+1 		@DAL
-2 		@NYG
-3 		DET
+2 		GB
+1.5
0.80 50.2% 0.3% IND MIA
-1 		DEN
+3.5 		@TEN
+1.5 		@LAR
+6.5 		LV
-1.5 		ARI
+1 		@LAC
+6 		TEN
-3.5 		@PIT
+3.5 		ATL
+1.5 		BYE @KC
+9.5 		HOU
+1.5 		@JAX
+3 		@SEA
+3.5 		SF
+3 		JAX
-1.5 		@HOU
+4.5
0.78 50.0% 0.4% BAL @BUF
+1 		CLE
-12.5 		DET
-3.5 		@KC
+1.5 		HOU
-7.5 		LAR
-5.5 		BYE CHI
-7 		@MIA
-5.5 		@MIN
-3.5 		@CLE
-8.5 		NYJ
-11.5 		CIN
-5.5 		PIT
-8.5 		@CIN
-2.5 		NE
-9 		@GB
-1.5 		@PIT
-4.5
0.78 50.0% 0.5% BUF BAL
-1 		@NYJ
-8 		MIA
-8.5 		NO
-13 		NE
-8.5 		@ATL
-5.5 		BYE @CAR
-7 		KC
-2.5 		@MIA
-5.5 		TB
-6 		@HOU
-3.5 		@PIT
-4.5 		CIN
-5.5 		@NE
-4.5 		@CLE
-8.5 		PHI
-1.5 		NYJ
-9.5
0.77 49.8% 1.9% MIA @IND
+1 		NE
-2.5 		@BUF
+8.5 		NYJ
-5.5 		@CAR
-1 		LAC
+2 		@CLE
-1.5 		@ATL
+1.5 		BAL
+5.5 		BUF
+5.5 		WSH
+4.5 		BYE NO
-6.5 		@NYJ
-1.5 		@PIT
+3 		CIN
+2 		TB
+1.5 		@NE
+2.5
0.74 46.8% 0.9% CHI MIN
+1.5 		@DET
+5 		DAL
-3 		@LV
-2 		BYE @WSH
+4.5 		NO
-8 		@BAL
+7 		@CIN
+3.5 		NYG
-5 		@MIN
+3 		PIT
-2.5 		@PHI
+6.5 		@GB
+3.5 		CLE
-7 		GB
+1.5 		@SF
+3.5 		DET
+1.5
0.71 44.7% 0.3% SEA SF
+2.5 		@PIT
+2.5 		NO
-6.5 		@ARI
+2.5 		TB
+1.5 		@JAX
+1 		HOU
-1 		BYE @WSH
+5.5 		ARI
-1.5 		@LAR
+4.5 		@TEN
-1.5 		MIN
-1 		@ATL
+1.5 		IND
-3.5 		LAR
+2 		@CAR
-1.5 		@SF
+4.5
0.71 44.6% 0.3% ATL TB
+2.5 		@MIN
+4.5 		@CAR
+1 		WSH
+3.5 		BYE BUF
+5.5 		@SF
+6.5 		MIA
-1.5 		@NE
+3 		@IND
-1.5 		CAR
-3 		@NO
-3 		@NYJ
-1.5 		SEA
-1.5 		@TB
+5 		@ARI
+3.5 		LAR
+3 		NO
-5.5
0.69 42.5% 0.2% NYJ PIT
+3 		BUF
+8 		@TB
+7.5 		@MIA
+5.5 		DAL
+2.5 		DEN
+6.5 		CAR
-1.5 		@CIN
+8 		BYE CLE
-2.5 		@NE
+5.5 		@BAL
+11.5 		ATL
+1.5 		MIA
+1.5 		@JAX
+4.5 		@NO
+1.5 		NE
+1.5 		@BUF
+9.5
0.69 44.0% 0.7% DET @GB
+2.5 		CHI
-5 		@BAL
+3.5 		CLE
-10.5 		@CIN
-1.5 		@KC
+3 		TB
-4 		BYE MIN
-4.5 		@WSH
+1.5 		@PHI
+3.5 		NYG
-9 		GB
-2.5 		DAL
-6 		@LAR
-1.5 		PIT
-6.5 		@MIN
-2 		@CHI
-1.5
0.69 43.2% 0.6% LV @NE
+2.5 		LAC
+3 		@WSH
+7.5 		CHI
+2 		@IND
+1.5 		TEN
-3 		@KC
+9.5 		BYE JAX
-1 		@DEN
+6.5 		DAL
+1.5 		CLE
-3.5 		@LAC
+6.5 		DEN
+3.5 		@PHI
+10.5 		@HOU
+4.5 		NYG
-2.5 		KC
+6
0.67 42.7% 0.3% HOU @LAR
+3 		TB
-2 		@JAX
-1.5 		TEN
-6.5 		@BAL
+7.5 		BYE @SEA
+1 		SF
+1 		DEN
+1.5 		JAX
-3.5 		@TEN
-3 		BUF
+3.5 		@IND
-1.5 		@KC
+6.5 		ARI
-3 		LV
-4.5 		@LAC
+3.5 		IND
-4.5
0.63 39.5% 0.4% LAC KC
+3 		@LV
-3 		DEN
-1 		@NYG
-3.5 		WSH
-1 		@MIA
-2 		IND
-6 		MIN
-3 		@TEN
-4.5 		PIT
-4.5 		@JAX
-1.5 		BYE LV
-6.5 		PHI
+2.5 		@KC
+4.5 		@DAL
-2 		HOU
-3.5 		@DEN
+2.5
0.61 37.9% 0.3% CAR @JAX
+3.5 		@ARI
+4.5 		ATL
-1 		@NE
+3.5 		MIA
+1 		DAL
+1.5 		@NYJ
+1.5 		BUF
+7 		@GB
+7.5 		NO
-4.5 		@ATL
+3 		@SF
+7 		LAR
+3.5 		BYE @NO
-1.5 		TB
+3.5 		SEA
+1.5 		@TB
+7
0.56 32.1% 0.2% CLE CIN
+5.5 		@BAL
+12.5 		GB
+6 		@DET
+10.5 		MIN
+7 		@PIT
+6.5 		MIA
+1.5 		@NE
+5.5 		BYE @NYJ
+2.5 		BAL
+8.5 		@LV
+3.5 		SF
+6 		TEN
-1.5 		@CHI
+7 		BUF
+8.5 		PIT
+2.5 		@CIN
+9
0.56 30.4% 0.2% NYG @WSH
+6 		@DAL
+3 		KC
+6.5 		LAC
+3.5 		@NO
-1.5 		PHI
+7 		@DEN
+7.5 		@PHI
+10.5 		SF
+3.5 		@CHI
+5 		GB
+4.5 		@DET
+9 		@NE
+3 		BYE WSH
+4.5 		MIN
+3 		@LV
+2.5 		DAL
+1.5
0.53 28.9% 0.2% NO ARI
+6.5 		SF
+7 		@SEA
+6.5 		@BUF
+13 		NYG
+1.5 		NE
+3 		@CHI
+8 		TB
+5.5 		@LAR
+9.5 		@CAR
+4.5 		BYE ATL
+3 		@MIA
+6.5 		@TB
+9.5 		CAR
+1.5 		NYJ
-1.5 		@TEN
+3.5 		@ATL
+5.5
0.50 22.9% 0.1% TEN @DEN
+8 		LAR
+5.5 		IND
-1.5 		@HOU
+6.5 		@ARI
+6 		@LV
+3 		NE
+1.5 		@IND
+3.5 		LAC
+4.5 		BYE HOU
+3 		SEA
+1.5 		JAX
+1 		@CLE
+1.5 		@SF
+7.5 		KC
+7 		NO
-3.5 		@JAX
+4.5
0.42 21.7% 0.5% DAL @PHI
+8 		NYG
-3 		@CHI
+3 		GB
+2.5 		@NYJ
-2.5 		@CAR
-1.5 		WSH
+3 		@DEN
+4.5 		ARI
-1.5 		BYE @LV
-1.5 		PHI
+5.5 		KC
+5.5 		@DET
+6 		MIN
+2 		LAC
+2 		@WSH
+5 		@NYG
-1.5
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About The grid above helps you make the best pick in your football survivor pool each week. It shows you the expected value of the pick this week, the win probability, and the pick distribution, as well as providing an easy to visualize possible future picks.

W% is the win probability of each team this week, based on betting market money lines.

P% is the percentage of people picking each team, taken from an average of several NFL survivor pools.

EV is the expected value of picking each team this week based on W% and P%. More info can be found in our FAQ.

Spread and game projections powered by SportsCrunch. Current week pick distribution provided by Yahoo and OFP.

Spread and pick distribution data updated hourly.