Week:

2025 Season - Week 14 Grid

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EV ▼ W% P% Team 14 15 16 17 18 Future Val
1.19 77.1% 4.0% LAR @ARI
-8 		DET
-4.5 		@SEA
-1 		@ATL
-7.5 		ARI
-11.5
1.17 77.2% 6.2% DEN @LV
-7.5 		GB
+1.5 		JAX
-3.5 		@KC
+4 		LAC
-2.5
1.16 75.7% 4.8% SEA @ATL
-7 		IND
-3.5 		LAR
+1 		@CAR
-6.5 		@SF
-2
1.13 72.3% 1.1% GB CHI
-6.5 		@DEN
-1.5 		@CHI
-3 		BAL
-3 		@MIN
-6
1.10 70.1% 1.1% BAL PIT
-6 		@CIN
-3 		NE
-2.5 		@GB
+3 		@PIT
-2.5
1.06 69.6% 4.2% BUF CIN
-5.5 		@NE
+1 		@CLE
-8 		PHI
-1.5 		NYJ
-13.5
0.96 62.4% 3.0% KC HOU
-3.5 		LAC
-5.5 		@TEN
-12 		DEN
-4 		@LV
-9.5
0.95 60.0% 0.7% DET DAL
-3 		@LAR
+4.5 		PIT
-6 		@MIN
-6.5 		@CHI
-3
0.91 64.7% 12.5% CLE TEN
-4 		@CHI
+7 		BUF
+8 		PIT
+3.5 		@CIN
+5
0.89 58.0% 2.7% PHI @LAC
-3 		LV
-12.5 		@WSH
-6.5 		@BUF
+1.5 		WSH
-9.5
0.88 58.0% 3.7% MIA @NYJ
-3 		@PIT
+3.5 		CIN
-1 		TB
+3 		@NE
+7
0.86 54.3% 0.5% MIN WSH
-1.5 		@DAL
+7.5 		@NYG
+1 		DET
+6.5 		GB
+6
0.85 78.6% 61.0% TB NO
-8.5 		ATL
-5.5 		@CAR
-3 		@MIA
-3 		CAR
-5.5
0.84 53.5% 0.3% IND @JAX
-1.5 		@SEA
+3.5 		SF
-2.5 		JAX
-3.5 		@HOU
+1
0.73 46.5% 0.5% JAX IND
+1.5 		NYJ
-9.5 		@DEN
+3.5 		@IND
+3.5 		TEN
-9
0.72 21.4% 0.0% NO @TB
+8.5 		CAR
+2.5 		NYJ
-3 		@TEN
PK 		@ATL
+4.5
0.71 45.7% 1.3% WSH @MIN
+1.5 		@NYG
-2 		PHI
+6.5 		DAL
+3.5 		@PHI
+9.5
0.69 42.0% 0.2% NYJ MIA
+3 		@JAX
+9.5 		@NO
+3 		NE
+8 		@BUF
+13.5
0.69 42.0% 0.2% LAC PHI
+3 		@KC
+5.5 		@DAL
+2.5 		HOU
-2 		@DEN
+2.5
0.66 35.3% 0.1% TEN @CLE
+4 		@SF
+12.5 		KC
+12 		NO
PK 		@JAX
+9
0.63 40.0% 0.7% DAL @DET
+3 		MIN
-7.5 		LAC
-2.5 		@WSH
-3.5 		@NYG
-5
0.62 37.6% 0.0% HOU @KC
+3.5 		ARI
-7 		LV
-8 		@LAC
+2 		IND
-1
0.51 30.4% 0.1% CIN @BUF
+5.5 		BAL
+3 		@MIA
+1 		ARI
-3 		CLE
-5
0.48 29.9% 0.0% PIT @BAL
+6 		MIA
-3.5 		@DET
+6 		@CLE
-3.5 		BAL
+2.5
0.44 27.7% 0.2% CHI @GB
+6.5 		CLE
-7 		GB
+3 		@SF
+3.5 		DET
+3
0.42 24.3% 0.1% ATL SEA
+7 		@TB
+5.5 		@ARI
+2 		LAR
+7.5 		NO
-4.5
0.40 22.8% 0.0% LV DEN
+7.5 		@PHI
+12.5 		@HOU
+8 		NYG
-1 		KC
+9.5
0.39 22.9% 0.2% ARI LAR
+8 		@HOU
+7 		ATL
-2 		@CIN
+3 		@LAR
+11.5
-- -- -- SF BYE TEN
-12.5 		@IND
+2.5 		CHI
-3.5 		SEA
+2
-- -- -- CAR BYE @NO
-2.5 		TB
+3 		SEA
+6.5 		@TB
+5.5
-- -- -- NE BYE BUF
-1 		@BAL
+2.5 		@NYJ
-8 		MIA
-7
-- -- -- NYG BYE WSH
+2 		MIN
-1 		@LV
+1 		DAL
+5
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About The grid above helps you make the best pick in your football survivor pool each week. It shows you the expected value of the pick this week, the win probability, and the pick distribution, as well as providing an easy to visualize possible future picks.

W% is the win probability of each team this week, based on betting market money lines.

P% is the percentage of people picking each team, taken from an average of several NFL survivor pools.

EV is the expected value of picking each team this week based on W% and P%. More info can be found in our FAQ.

Spread and game projections powered by SportsCrunch. Current week pick distribution provided by Yahoo and OFP.

Spread and pick distribution data updated hourly.